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Binomial Conditions

Age 16 to 18
Challenge Level Yellow starYellow star
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What does it mean for two trials to be independent?  Make sure you are absolutely clear on this before you start!

Can you come up with examples where the trials are dependent?  What do we mean by the probability of success of the second trial if it is dependent on the first trial?

You might find it helpful to think in terms of tree diagrams or two-way tables (if there are only two trials).

Bear in mind that if each trial is a repeat of the first trial with the same starting conditions, then it is likely to have the same probability of success and be independent of the first trial.  So to find an example where these conditions are not met, the trials cannot possibly all look identical.

There are some example situations that might give you some ideas in Binomial or Not?

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Binomial or Not?

Are these scenarios described by the binomial distribution?

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The NRICH Project aims to enrich the mathematical experiences of all learners. To support this aim, members of the NRICH team work in a wide range of capacities, including providing professional development for teachers wishing to embed rich mathematical tasks into everyday classroom practice.

NRICH is part of the family of activities in the Millennium Mathematics Project.

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